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	<title>Visit Offshore Inn when Living Overseas for International Real Estate, Overseas Jobs, Asset Protection, Expatriate Resources and Overseas Retirement</title>
	<link>http://offshoreinn.com</link>
	<description>Offshore Inn for International Real Estate, Overseas Jobs, Asset Protection, Expatriate Resources and Overseas Retirement</description>
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		<title>US 30-Year Treasury Bond Direct Bidders See Value, Step Up To The Plate And Buy</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Inquiring minds are reading <a target="_blank" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&#38;sid=aMEm6wcA8PPo">Treasury Yield Curve Near Record Adds to Demand at Bond Auction</a>. <blockquote>Treasury 30-year bonds gained as one of the biggest yield premiums over 2-year government securities on record bolstered demand at today’s U.S. auction of $13 billion in bonds.<br /><br />“Insurers, pension funds and other investors continue to buy the 30-year because of its outright yield and it relative value attractive against the short-end given the inflation and economic pictures,” said Thomas Tucci, head of U.S. government bond trading in New York at the Royal Bank of Canada, one of the 18 primary dealers required to bid at Treasury auctions. “There is just little value in the front end versus the long bond.”<br /><br />“If you look behind the trade numbers, exports and imports both fell,” said Kathy Lien, director of currency research, with online currency trader GFT Forex, in New York. “The contraction in imports and exports does not play into the growth story. That’s why risk currencies are selling off and the dollar is rising.”<br /><br />Today’s auction of 30-year debt followed a sale of $21 billion of 10-year debt yesterday. The Treasury auctioned a record-tying $40 billion of three-year notes on March 9.<br /><br />The 30-year securities drew a yield of 4.679 percent, compared with an average forecast of 4.702 percent in a Bloomberg News survey of 9 of the Federal Reserve’s 18 primary dealers. Direct bidders, non-primary dealers that place their bids directly with the Treasury, bought 29.6 percent, the highest since at least February 2006.<br /><br />“The yield pick-up extending out the curve is attractive at these levels,” said Richard Bryant, senior vice president in fixed income at MF Global Inc. in New York, a broker of exchange-traded futures. “Real money will go to work on the long end of the Treasury market. The range that has held on the long end is reflective of the benign inflation environment at the moment.” </blockquote><span style="bold;">Charts of the Day</span><br /><br />Tyler Durden writing on Zero Hedge has a pair of interesting charts in <a target="_blank" href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/13-billion-30-year-reopening-closes-4679-directs-take-down-whopping-297-new-record-indirects">$13 Billion 30 Year Reopening Closes At 4.679%, Directs Take Down Whopping 29.7%: A New Record, Indirects Settle For Mere 23.9%</a><br /><br /><span style="bold;"></span><blockquote><span style="bold;">Direct Bidders</span><br /><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5l4dRZFfeI/AAAAAAAAIBs/IcKsk6KTwmA/s1600-h/direct+bidders.png"><img style="258px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5l4dRZFfeI/AAAAAAAAIBs/IcKsk6KTwmA/s400/direct+bidders.png" alt="" border="0" /></a><br /><br />click on chart for sharper image<br /><br /><span style="bold;">Indirect Bidders</span><br /><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5l4wdrAn7I/AAAAAAAAIB0/ahhZVAKBbPc/s1600-h/indirect+bidders.png"><img style="258px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5l4wdrAn7I/AAAAAAAAIB0/ahhZVAKBbPc/s400/indirect+bidders.png" alt="" border="0" /></a><br /><br />click on chart for sharper image</blockquote><span style="bold;">A Very Good Auction</span><br /><br />In contrast to what many think about treasuries ready to blow up because of falling foreign demand, I repeat what I have been saying all along: US demand will pick up.<br /><br />That aside, it is also important to point out that indirect bidding is related to trade deficits. When the trade deficit is high and rising, foreign buyers step up treasury buying as a purely mathematical function of parking inflows, although there is nothing that forces the buyers to go that far out on the yield curve.<br /><br />Since the trade deficit is not what it once was, one should expect foreign buying to slow. Thus I do not know what Tyler Durden means when he says "<span style="italic;">Indirects at miserable 23.9% vs. Avg. 42.32%</span>".<br /><br />Here is my intrepretation of the auction: I would suggest this auction went very well as demand is picking up from US buyers, without yields going to the moon.<br /><br />Mike "Mish" Shedlock<br />http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com<a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/"><br /></a><a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/"><span style="bold;">Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List</span></a><div class="blogger-post-footer">Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.<img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/11324386-7045499575067081152?l=globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
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		<link>http://offshoreinn.com/investing/us-30-year-treasury-bond-direct-bidders-see-value-step-up-to-the-plate-and-buy/</link>
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		<title>A Rocky Path Forward in the Mideast</title>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>An Israeli announcement of more housing construction in East Jerusalem became the focus of Vice President Biden's Middle East trip, but CFR's Jacob Walles thinks the "proximity talks" starting next week are a practical, low-risk way to restart negotiations.</p><div class="feedflare">
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		<link>http://offshoreinn.com/1/a-rocky-path-forward-in-the-mideast/</link>
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		<title>Middle East: Opinion Roundup</title>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Vice President Joseph R. Biden, in the Middle East to build support for revived Israeli-Palestinian peace talks, issued a strong denouncement of Israeli plans to build another sixteen hundred housing units in East Jerusalem, which Palestinians see as the capital of a Palestinian state. Commentators included those writing about the bad timing and substance of Israel's announcement; others speculated about Israel's stance on Iran and the readiness of both sides for real compromise.</p><div class="feedflare">
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		<link>http://offshoreinn.com/1/middle-east-opinion-roundup/</link>
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		<title>Hardball In New Jersey, No Balls In Virginia; Brass Balls In Las Vegas</title>
		<description><![CDATA[New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is doing what he was elected to do, govern. And that means playing hardball with union termites who refuse to give an inch to help the state out of budget problems primarily caused by untenable union promises, union wages, and union pensions.<br /><br />When unions refused to cooperate, Christie decided to take the next logical step, to privatize jobs. Please consider <a target="_blank" href="http://www.nj.com/gloucester/index.ssf?/base/news-0/1268294106179030.xml&#38;coll=8">New Jersey plans to privatize state jobs</a><blockquote>Gov. Chris Christie today will create a commission to privatize as many as 2,000 state jobs beginning next January, officials said Wednesday night.<br /><br />As he grapples with an $11 billion deficit in the budget he will present on Tuesday, Christie is also considering invoking the Disaster Control Act to suspend Civil Service rules to make it easier for him to lay off higher-paid workers, according to two administration officials.<br /><br />The Republican governor today plans to sign an executive order creating the task force to cut the size and cost of the state payroll. Three officials familiar with his plans last night said the commission will identify which jobs or agencies would be operated by the private sector and how that would be accomplished. The officials declined to be named ahead of the announcement.<br /><br />Privatizing jobs would require layoffs. By beginning them in January, Christie would not be subject to a deal between former Gov. Jon Corzine and state worker unions that would require the state to pay millions in raises to remaining workers if he orders layoffs before then.<br /><br />Suspending civil service would allow Christie to order layoffs of higher-paid unionized state employees with many years of service, rather than the usual practice of layoffs that affect lower-paid new employees first, the officials said. Currently, workers with more seniority can "bump" less-experienced workers from their jobs.<br /><br />The privatization effort deals a blow to state worker unions just 48 hours after Christie publicly acknowledged he is bound by the agreement struck by Corzine where state workers would get two 3.5 percent raises in the coming fiscal year Ð one in July and one in January. They deferred one raise and took 10 unpaid furlough days last year in exchange for the no-layoff pledge. </blockquote> Two days ago when I read that the Union refused to give an inch on a ridiculous contract negotiated by former governor Corzine, I was delighted. The reason is  I was pretty sure how Christie would respond. Today he hit a home run.<br /><br />Moreover, his goal should be to privatize every government job he can. Why stop at 2,000?<br /><br /><span style="bold;">Where's The Leadership?</span><br /><br />It's too bad other governors refuse to follow Christie's lead by cutting expenses. I talked about that previously in <a target="_blank" href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2010/03/missouri-budget-overstates-revenues-by.html">Missouri Budget Overstates Revenues By Up To $1 billion; Indiana Revenue Falls Short; Budget Battles In Washington; Budget Gaps In Kansas</a><br /><br />Sadly, the governors in Missouri, Kansas, Washington, and Indiana fail to see the problem or are still looking for "tricks" to postpone dealing with those problems. There are no tricks left in the bag, yet states keep looking for tricks.<br /><br />Add Virginia to the list of states playing trick-or-treat.<br /><br /><span style="bold;">Federally Funded Ticketing Blitz In Virginia</span><br /><br />Inquiring minds are reading <a target="_blank" href="http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/virginia-state-police-help-with-budget-crunch/">Virginia State Police Help With Budget Crunch</a>.<br /><blockquote>A federally funded ticketing blitz in the state of Virginia landed a total of 6996 traffic tickets this weekend. The blitz, dubbed “Operation Air, Land &#38; Speed” coincided with frantic efforts by state officials to close a$2.2 billion budget deficit. Supervisors ordered state troopers to saturate Interstates 81 and 95 to issue as many tickets as humanly possible over the space of two days.<br /><br />Activists with the National Motorists Association pointed out that enforcement efforts may have concentrated on areas where speed limits are expected to rise to 70 MPH following Governor Bob McDonnell’s signature on legislation raising the state’s maximum speed limit (view law). This would mean a significant number of tickets were issued for conduct that will be perfectly legal in a matter of months. The group also indicated that state police tactics may run afoul of state law.<br /><br />Under the federal grant application process, state officials explained that they would pay officers overtime — at least one-and-a-half times their normal salary — to participate. This special reward for ticketing operation participants appears to violate the spirit of state law.</blockquote><span style="bold;">Message To Virginia Governor </span><br /><br />Hello, Bob McDonnell, you are not even in the ballpark with what needs to be done. How about showing some leadership rather that resorting to traffic blitzes to shore up the budget? All you are doing is postponing tackling the real problem, a bloated state budget.<br /><br />If the state police have nothing better to do than harass drivers in areas where the speeding limit is set to go up anyway, then Virginia should get rid of some of that police force, reducing the budget at the same time.<br /><br /><span style="bold;">Brass Balls In Las Vegas</span><br /><br />Finally! The mayor of a major city is looking into doing what needs to be done. Please consider <a target="_blank" href="http://www.lvrj.com/news/goodman-says-city-should-fire-all-workers-87255622.html">Las Vegas Mayor Says City Should Fire All Workers</a><br /><blockquote>If Las Vegas can't get the desired wage concessions out of its employee unions, the city should simply fire everyone and offer to rehire them to work a shorter work week, Mayor Oscar Goodman said Wednesday.<br /><br />"I'm trying to save jobs. I really am," Goodman said. "If it's a strong-arm tactic, so be it. "If it's legal, I'm going to propose it to the council. I think it's the only way we're going to save jobs."<br /><br />Goodman ordered the city attorney to study the possibility.<br /><br />The idea didn't go well with the unions. Several union presidents went so far as to call the mayor a bully. And Councilman Ricki Barlow also said he disagreed with the mayor.<br /><br />The city faces a $70 million budget hole to fill and most likely a $40 million deficit in the next fiscal year, and the proposed solution to that hasn't changed -- all employees, Goodman said, should forgo their scheduled raises and accept 8 percent pay cuts in each of the next two years.<br /><br />Or, under his fire-and-rehire plan, a new 37.5-hour workweek would trim costs 6.25 percent, and a 36-hour week would cut costs 10 percent, he said.<br /><br />"I've never been as severely disappointed as this situation has caused me to be," Goodman said about the unions being unwilling to open their contracts and accept needed changes.<br /><br />Goodman also called for a study of whether the city should privatize its ambulance services, noting that his fire-them-all approach isn't applicable to public safety employees.</blockquote>Hello Mayor Goodman, you have the right idea, so just do it. And when you hire those workers back, privatize every one of the jobs, including police and fire. Don't wimp out by privatizing just  ambulance services. It's time to show some brass balls.<br /><br />Mike "Mish" Shedlock<br />http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com<a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/"><br /></a><a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/"><span style="bold;">Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List</span></a><div class="blogger-post-footer">Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.<img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/11324386-878727882366202683?l=globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
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		<link>http://offshoreinn.com/investing/hardball-in-new-jersey-no-balls-in-virginia-brass-balls-in-las-vegas/</link>
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		<title>Groundhog Day Again - Weekly Unemployment Claims at 462,000, 4-Week Moving Average at 475,500</title>
		<description><![CDATA[Any economists blaming snow for recent weekly claims reports need to search for additional excuses.  Once again, today's numbers appear like reporting in the movie <span style="italic;">Groundhog Day</span>.  <p>Please consider the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/ui/current.htm">Unemployment Weekly Claims Report</a> for March 11, 2010.</p><blockquote>In the week ending March 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 462,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 468,000. The 4-week moving average was 475,500, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised average of 470,500.</blockquote><span style="bold;">Weekly Unemployment Claims </span><br /><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5kLmmAxUCI/AAAAAAAAIBU/O08_i0EOY3c/s1600-h/weekly+claims+2010-03-11.png"><img style="196px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5kLmmAxUCI/AAAAAAAAIBU/O08_i0EOY3c/s400/weekly+claims+2010-03-11.png" alt="" border="0" /></a><br /><br />The weekly claims numbers are volatile so it's best to focus on the trend in the 4-week moving average. That 4-week average has not show any improvement for quite some time.<br /><br /><span style="bold;">4-Week Moving Average of Initial Claims</span><br /><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5kMri6CXEI/AAAAAAAAIBc/I3nxttNEpFw/s1600-h/weekly+claims+2010-03-11A.png"><img style="240px;" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5kMri6CXEI/AAAAAAAAIBc/I3nxttNEpFw/s400/weekly+claims+2010-03-11A.png" alt="" border="0" /></a><br /><br />The 4-week moving average is still near the peak results of the last two recessions. It's important to note those are raw number, not population adjusted. Nonetheless, the numbers do indicate broad weakness.<br /><br /><span style="bold;">4-Week Moving Average of Initial Claims Since 2007</span><br /><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5kPxMDpp-I/AAAAAAAAIBk/_GQHK0tTteM/s1600-h/weekly+claims+2010-03-11B.png"><img style="240px;" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S5kPxMDpp-I/AAAAAAAAIBk/_GQHK0tTteM/s400/weekly+claims+2010-03-11B.png" alt="" border="0" /></a><br /><br /><span style="bold;">4-Week Moving Average of Initial Claims Detail<br /><br /></span><a target="_blank" href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S4_rXzMdUGI/AAAAAAAAH_M/xD20hoLdlY4/s1600-h/weekly+claims+2010-03-04B.png"><img style="240px;" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_nSTO-vZpSgc/S4_rXzMdUGI/AAAAAAAAH_M/xD20hoLdlY4/s400/weekly+claims+2010-03-04B.png" alt="" border="0" /></a><br /><br />The 4-week moving average of claims for the last four weeks is about where it was on December 5, 2009. By this measure, the recovery has stalled. For more on jobs, please see <a target="_blank" href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2010/03/bragging-about-census-hiring-starts.html">Bragging About Census Hiring Starts Already; I'll Take The Under</a>.<br /><br /><span style="bold;"></span>Mike "Mish" Shedlock<br />http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com<a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/"><br /></a><a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/"><span style="bold;">Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List</span></a><div class="blogger-post-footer">Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.<img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/11324386-8808434153056788711?l=globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
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		<link>http://offshoreinn.com/investing/groundhog-day-again-weekly-unemployment-claims-at-462000-4-week-moving-average-at-475500/</link>
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